| The
question is, “Are you and your clients on board?”
On 23rd July 1988 a female vocal group called Yazz were top
of the UK Charts with their only real hit, The Only Way Is Up!
Anyone investing in the main indices at that time would have
seen the following returns up to today (16th June 2005)
FTSE 100 +171%
Dow +266%
NASDAQ +578%
(All figures approx)
In fact during that time we’ve experienced many world events
that have adversely effected investment returns for example
the Gulf War (December 1990), the ERM Currency Crisis (September
1992) and the World Trade Centre (September 2001). Conversely
we have experienced great periods of growth at the end of the
Eighties and during the Nineties.
I remember being called into an “emergency meeting” in January
1994, the FTSE had fallen from its high of 3300 points in September
1993 back to 2800 points. The meeting was to discuss the question
“Will the FTSE ever reach 3500 in our working lifetime?”
The answer lies with Yazz……….
The
thing is that we don’t actually know when the markets are going
to rise and it will always be a bumpy ride when they do, but
history tells us that the main investment, over a long term,
(a period of 10 years or more) that will beat Deposits is exposure
to world stock markets. Below are two exerts from articles from
the financial press, the first from May 2003 and the second
from Feb2004 – both are advocating – “get into shares”.
|
|
Daily Mail - 7th May 2003 |
Sunday Times - 15th February 2004 |
Thus the experts were saying get into shares
a year ago and that the place to put your money was still shares
in February this year. Sure, the markets had risen during that
period but this is still the place to be and since then there
has been an Autumn rally in the FTSE 100.
Of course, we know that we don’t put all
our eggs in one basket. It has to be a spread of shares and
across the main world markets but this is always the place for
at least some of your own or your portfolio.
If you would like some advice on how to make
the financial provision for the future and would like to speak
to one of our trained advisors please e-mail
deVere & Partners.
So the message has to be, “If you’re not
in shares, now is the time to start building for your future”
Indeed
“The Only Way Is Up!” ...
Historical Events: their impact on
the US Stock Market
Event
|
Date |
Response
|
After
4 mths |
Pearl Harbour*
|
December 1941
|
-6.5%
|
-9.6%* |
Korean War
|
June 1950
|
-12%
|
+19.2% |
JFK Assassination
|
November 1963
|
-2.9%
|
+15.1%
|
Arab Oil Embargo
|
October 1973
|
-17.9%
|
+7.2% |
USSR in Afghanistan
|
December 1979
|
-2.2%
|
+6.8% |
1987 Financial Panic
|
October 1987
|
-34.2%
|
+15% |
Gulf War
|
December 1990
|
-4.3%
|
+18.7% |
ERM Currency Crisis
|
September 1992
|
-6%
|
+9.2% |
Far East Contagion
|
October 1997
|
-12.4%
|
+25% |
Russia/LTCM Crisis
|
August 1998
|
-11.3%
|
+33.7% |
World Trade Centre
|
September 2001
|
DOW -14.3%
Nasdaq – 11.6%
|
+5.9%
+22.5% |
*(The markets rose 8% during the year following
Pearl Harbour) |